No Choice for Israel
Thursday, April 23, 2009 at 11:27AM 
Iranian President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is well-known for denouncing Israel as an illegal state and for declaring that it should be wiped off the map. Combined with this not-so-idle-threat is news that Iran is 60 days away from producing a nuclear bomb.
This would not normally be a problem, since there are other enemies with nukes pointed at each other, such as Pakistan and India and they exist under the specter of "mutually assured destruction." That is to say, choosing to launch means that you too will destroyed, therefore canceling out the option to launch. The U.S. and Soviet Union lasted decades under this understanding.
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is a different animal. As a devout follower of a radical strain of Shi'ism, he believes that he has been chosen by Allah to set up the conditions to bring back the Twelfth Imam, or Mahdi. Those "conditions" are to bring the world to the edge of destruction so that the hidden Mahdi may return to rule the planet and restore Islamic law. Therefore, it can be assumed that the old restraint of mutually assured destruction will not work with him.
When Ahmadinejad returned from a speech he gave at the U.N. he said:
one of our group told me that when I started to say "In the name of God the almighty and merciful," he saw a light around me, and I was placed inside this aura. I felt it myself. I felt the atmosphere suddenly change, and for those 27 or 28 minutes, the leaders of the world did not blink. … And they were rapt. It seemed as if a hand was holding them there and had opened their eyes to receive the message from the Islamic republic.
Based on the evidence, it is my opinion that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is capable of mass murder and will launch a nuclear strike against Israel if he is not stopped immediately. Unfortunately, this means Israel will need to conduct a first strike to take out Iran's deeply embedded nuclear compounds and this also means a war with the Arab world. If Israel waits, Tel Aviv will most likely be the first target. Either way, Israel loses. Ahmadinejad knows this and he is perfectly situated to do exactly what he believes he is ordained to do.
According to the London Times, Israel is currently conducting massive military exercises in preparation for a conflict with Iran. This combined with various reports of Israel taking possession of U.S.-made bunker busters, it is clear that something is up.
I am convinced that we will see a war this summer and it will be huge. Worse yet, I foresee the possible use of theater nukes in order to take out the Iranian facilities and of course, the world will blame Israel. Once they do this, the Arab world will have the Jihad they've been asking for.
There is no choice, sorry to say.
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